We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. Its true that Speightsown has sired plenty of quality 2-year-olds and talented sprinters, but hes actually far more versatile than that. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. Every race since has been shorter. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. That is possible, Sadler said. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. f: (732) 747-8955. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. background-color: #104E8B; The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. Not a subscriber? Danzing Candy ran steadily improving figures over his first four races (72-89-92-100) before falling apart in the Santa Anita Derby - when he set a wicked pace over a sloppy track and faded to . Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. } Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. It's an exciting time. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. With the way things are looking, it seems like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby this year. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). . Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. After breaking a step slowly, the 3-year-old took control early on, started to draw clear on the turn and then galloped away from his rivals without ever being asked by jockey Flavien Prat. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. Taiba won as much the best, again earning a Beyer figure north of 100. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. Receive daily headlines, breaking news alerts, promotions, and much . } When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Suite 100 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. . He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. Speightstown has enjoyed success as a sire on dirt and turf and with sprinters as well as longer-distance runners. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Where and when, I don't know yet. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. .tableizer-table td { border: 1px solid #CCC; Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. In the only . This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. The latter calculation compensates for a racetrack running faster or slower than usual. Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. margin: 3px; Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. The Beyer speed figure of 79 was solid if not spectacular, but the manner in which the win was accomplished - a stalking trip followed by a good late kick - suggests this colt will be perfectly suited by an extended sprint . Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. . font-weight: bold; But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. He's won four of his past five races, losing only by a head to Call Me Midnight in the Grade 3 Lecomte. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. 7 Winners on Monday! 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. Through 02/26/2023. } [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. Both runners earned their lofty numbers in the Wood Memorial (G2). Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. 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